Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.526806 3.748792 3.985546 4.258239 4.565440 4.902960 5.304839
2024-10-27 3.148030 3.429619 3.743687 4.123963 4.577611 5.109102 5.790966
2024-11-03 3.001303 3.344157 3.742831 4.249522 4.890183 5.694274 6.817766
2024-11-10 2.905225 3.305314 3.789217 4.434222 5.300075 6.471419 8.280305
2024-11-17 2.712691 3.131712 3.652921 4.372441 5.383728 6.837373 9.286626
2024-11-24 2.531402 2.957384 3.499626 4.270698 5.398823 7.112828 10.257389
2024-12-01 2.389785 2.823148 3.386951 4.211990 5.468369 7.490641 11.570531
2024-12-08 2.271730 2.711261 3.294794 4.172269 5.561894 7.934708 13.251464
2024-12-15 2.206082 2.664346 3.287390 4.255424 5.864934 8.833850 16.572539
2024-12-22 2.071900 2.515861 3.126092 4.088855 5.727551 8.870001 17.771519
2024-12-29 2.008604 2.461437 3.095573 4.122977 5.946025 9.702650 22.309302
2025-01-05 1.941920 2.398148 3.047240 4.123351 6.105097 10.474410 28.068097
2025-01-12 1.839919 2.288309 2.935654 4.032328 6.125747 11.069681 35.769825
2025-01-19 1.737639 2.172629 2.807623 3.901400 6.049108 11.417144 44.492233
2025-01-26 1.698383 2.146374 2.815200 4.007522 6.494436 13.572478 98.751198
2025-02-02 1.671808 2.137082 2.848799 4.167037 7.117593 17.069312 2298.592150
2025-02-09 1.603876 2.061432 2.769564 4.106027 7.207228 18.720565 NaN
2025-02-16 1.535241 1.981216 2.677478 4.010350 7.190927 19.976135 NaN
2025-02-23 1.479149 1.917584 2.608897 3.954105 7.271447 22.010351 NaN
2025-03-02 1.430450 1.863048 2.552065 3.915547 7.396724 24.742258 NaN
2025-03-09 1.403299 1.840811 2.548683 3.987298 7.875329 31.842232 NaN
2025-03-16 1.343288 1.763805 2.445638 3.836443 7.625648 31.770312 NaN
2025-03-23 1.314648 1.735611 2.426428 3.865243 7.972076 40.264614 NaN